Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.839742 0.982497 1.141993 1.333405 1.556926 1.809761 2.117594
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.647164 0.846721 1.095446 1.428290 1.862358 2.409766 3.153603
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.527842 0.747951 1.044546 1.473557 2.078939 2.904017 4.116679
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.438713 0.663233 0.985534 1.482124 2.229192 3.313581 5.012272
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.369104 0.590023 0.924924 1.469810 2.336044 3.663569 5.860680
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.317079 0.532751 0.876003 1.462316 2.441495 4.016658 6.754897
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.280010 0.492338 0.845597 1.476383 2.578269 4.430959 7.799317
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.238739 0.437783 0.782805 1.424699 2.593585 4.640947 8.520878
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.227217 0.433364 0.804677 1.522545 2.881650 5.355044 10.227977
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.197810 0.391504 0.753215 1.478286 2.902249 5.588721 11.078634
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.172073 0.352729 0.701843 1.426094 2.898727 5.773550 11.855796
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.151192 0.320468 0.658440 1.382891 2.905533 5.976337 12.691793
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.139100 0.304986 0.647303 1.405769 3.054225 6.490090 14.259798
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134967 0.305900 0.670220 1.504054 3.376803 7.408164 16.828710
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.126744 0.296568 0.669951 1.551611 3.595297 8.133270 19.077880
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116453 0.280981 0.653699 1.560625 3.727755 8.685709 21.012369
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.105853 0.263062 0.629600 1.547658 3.806527 9.125086 22.741192
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096795 0.247532 0.608912 1.539767 3.895962 9.600313 24.624284
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090044 0.236750 0.598111 1.554579 4.043135 10.232970 26.990866
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.080252 0.216770 0.561982 1.500156 4.007194 10.408775 28.209797
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079362 0.220080 0.585146 1.603188 4.395521 11.710535 32.589807
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.071456 0.203290 0.553935 1.556583 4.377306 11.952992 34.132589
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064041 0.186800 0.521340 1.501625 4.328513 12.107467 35.453876